Thanks
for visiting my web site. In order to give
you a better understanding of what I'm doing here, a few words of
introduction are in order. When
I began the
journey that led me to create this site I had a very different view
of the world
than I have today. Looking back a decade
or so, I have described myself as “a Summa Cum
Laude
graduate of the Bjorn Lomborg
School of Don’t-Worry-Be-Happy”. I was
living a contented first world throw-away
lifestyle, confident that human ingenuity was boundless
and could overcome any obstacles humanity might face in our march
toward the stars. Eventually
my self-satisfied bubble was popped by a well-meaning friend, who
convinced me
to take a closer look at the scientific findings for and against Global
Warming. Although I had been a casual global
warming denier up till then, this
reappraisal changed my
mind completely on the subject. The
revolution in my perspective didn’t stop there, however.
Once I was convinced that carbon dioxide was
the culprit, the next logical question was, “Where is it coming from?” The answer to that was trivially obvious: it
was coming from the coal, oil and natural gas used by our civilization
to power
its defining industrial might. So then
the question became, “How much fossil fuel do we use and how do we use
it?” Thanks to the magic of Google, within
minutes
I was being mesmerized by the dystopian vistas of “Peak Oil”.
That discovery proved to be the opening to the rabbit hole that has
swallowed me for the last decade. The
idea that we could be on the brink of a permanent decline in our
civilization’s
master resource was utterly radical to me. I
have no background in the oil industry, or even in
geology for
that
matter, so it took quite a while to wrap my mind around all the
minutiae and nuances of that arcane subject. As
I persisted in my investigations over the following year, the mists
cleared. As the full implications of
Peak Oil became clear to me, I was seized by a cold dread.
It really did look as though our civilization
might be walking blindly towards an abyss. To
alleviate my dread I plunged into an investigation of alternatives. Alternative energy, alternative processes,
alternative social, economic and industrial structures.
Unfortunately the majority of
these investigations were fruitless, which just added to my growing
despair. In addition, as the reach of my
inquiry broadened I began to uncover a very wide range of similar
problems, all
of which appeared to be similarly insoluble. Even
worse, all these
problems appeared to be interconnected and mutually reinforcing. The deeper I immersed myself in the
state of our industrial civilization and the natural world that
supports it,
the worse our situation looked. I
would dearly love to report that I have found the door out of the box
we have
so carefully and unconsciously constructed for ourselves.
Nothing would give me greater pleasure than
to tell you there is a way that our civilization and its 6.6 billion
people can
achieve a harmonious balance with all the other life on the planet;
that we can
establish a truly sustainable existence and can expect to continue on
our way with only minor adjustments to our activities and
expectations. Alas,
life is not so simple. As I describe in
articles on this site, there are hopeful signs and useful actions we
can
undertake, and it is probable that some form of human civilization will
continue
well
into the future. However, the shape of
that existence will be radically different from
what we
have come to accept as normal. It
turns out that we have an enormous ecological debt to repay, the result
of the
profligacy and lack of comprehension that have characterized this cycle
of our
development. Unlike human societies,
Mother Nature does not forgive the debts she is owed.
We will be required to pay in full, despite
all our protestations, negotiations and attempts at avoidance. This
site is my attempt to outline the shape of the situation we
have gotten
ourselves into. While it is still a work in
progress, I hope to make a
persuasive case and to present some hints of a realistic future
direction for
humanity. I have as much as possible
refrained from offering prescriptions for action. There
are many helpful things we can do as
individuals and there is no shortage of people willing to offer such
advice. In my opinion, though, the only
way we can hope to make correct decisions about our future actions,
either as
individuals or as a society, is if we truly understand the nature of
the
problem. Advancing that understanding is
my prime purpose. If
you would like
to communicate further on any of the topics I discuss, you have two
options. You may leave a comment at the link on the main page, or
you may email me.
Paul Chefurka Ottawa, Canada
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